Wednesday, November 5, 2014

BL Predicts: Week 9 vs the Bungles - Beating the odds?

Can the Browns beat the odds and walk away with a W in Cincy tomorrow evening even though there are are numerous factors stacked against them?


* Cincinnati has not lost a regular season home game since the 2012 season and the Bengals are returning to full strength with AJ Green no longer injured, and while Giovani Bernard is hurt, the Bengals have Jeremy Hill emerging as a potential game changing talent in their backfield. 

* The Browns have been poor on the road this season at 1-2 including an embarrassing loss to the Jaguars.

* The Browns have been badly decimated by injuries and the suspension of key players.  Alex Mack, Josh Gordon, Jordan Cameron & Phil Taylor.   There is a risk that Andrew Hawkins won't play Thursday evening and a key special teams player, Johnson Bademosi is out too.

In the aggregate these factors say the odds are the Browns will lose but on the plus side the Browns are playing as a team with a QB that is a courageous leader who inspires his teammates.  Emotion is a big part of a football game and the Browns might have an emotional edge Thursday evening.   Will that be enough?

What about coaching and game plans?

The Bengals will play it very conventional Thursday night, doing the things on offense and defense that they always do.   The Browns know what to expect.   I see the Browns, on the other hand, changing tendencies they've shown year to date, debuting some new plays and perhaps even some trickery.

The Browns will give the Bengals all they can handle for 2-3 quarters but in the end the Bungles will simply wear out the Browns, who have suffered too many injuries.  The Browns will give us something to cheer for tomorrow but in the end I think the Bengals will win.

BL Predicts

Browns        24
Bengals        31


The BL are 4-4 year to date predicting the winner of Browns games .

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