Sunday, August 18, 2024
Stefanski and Dorsey: An Arranged Marriage
Saturday, August 10, 2024
Browns History: Linebacker Gerald Irons
Gerald Irons, a name that resonates with fans of hard-hitting, intelligent football, was more than just a linebacker during his time in the NFL—he was a pioneer. Though his professional journey began with the Oakland Raiders, it was his time with the Cleveland Browns from 1976 to 1979 that truly cemented his legacy as one of the game’s transformative figures.
Standing at 6'2" and weighing around 230 pounds, Irons was a physical specimen for his time, bringing a combination of height, speed, and strength that allowed him to excel in multiple facets of the game. At a time when linebackers were primarily tasked with stopping the run, Irons’ athleticism made him one of the first linebackers capable of defending against the run, rushing the passer, and dropping back into pass coverage with equal proficiency.
His unique skill set set the stage for the evolution of the linebacker position. No longer would a linebacker be confined to the trenches, solely focused on run-stopping duties. Instead, Irons helped pave the way for the modern, versatile linebacker—a player who must be able to cover tight ends and running backs in the passing game while also being able to disrupt the quarterback and plug gaps in the running game.
During his time with the Browns, Irons made a significant impact on the field. Though statistics from that era are not as comprehensive as today’s, Irons’ contributions can be seen in his interception, sack, and tackle numbers. He recorded 6 interceptions and 6 sacks in his four seasons with Cleveland, showcasing his ability to read the quarterback, make plays in coverage, and disrupt the passing game—uncommon for linebackers of his time.
Additionally, Irons was known for his tackling ability, consistently finishing near the top of the team’s leaderboard in tackles each season. His combination of size and speed allowed him to cover large areas of the field, making him a constant threat to opposing offenses. His ability to rush the passer, evidenced by his sack totals, often forced hurried throws and created turnovers.
Gerald Irons’ influence on the linebacker position cannot be understated. His ability to play all aspects of the linebacker role at a high level made him a valuable asset to the Browns and a nightmare for opposing offenses. His legacy is evident in today’s NFL, where linebackers are expected to be multi-dimensional, capable of excelling in both run support and pass coverage.
Irons’ time with the Browns may not have garnered the same headlines as some of his contemporaries, but his impact on the game was profound. He was a linebacker ahead of his time, whose versatility and athleticism helped redefine what it meant to play the position. His contributions to the Cleveland Browns and the NFL as a whole remain a testament to his skill, intelligence, and pioneering spirit on the football field.
Sunday, July 28, 2024
Data Insufficiency - The Problem with Paul DePodesta's Browns Analytics
Over the past few years every time the Browns get "cute" when calling a play I think to myself, "Why in God's name do the Browns give Paul DePodesta so much influence?"
That stated, I do believe that the strategy of questioning conventional wisdom has paid dividends for the Browns if only in their selection of Andrew Berry as General Manager. Having a "team first" leader at the top of any organization who can put his ego to the side and use a facts based approach that questions conventional wisdom when necessary is a huge plus. Andrew Berry is all of those things and much more.
It does appear that Browns are moving past the era where every single bit of conventional NFL wisdom is second guessed and that's a good thing too. Bringing your second string quarterback into the game to replace your $230,000,000 quarterback on 4th down and less than 1 yard vs a Division Rival and then throwing a 40 yard incomplete pass to the end zone may well challenge conventional wisdom but sometimes conventional wisdom is actually wise.
Here’s a comparison of the use of analytics in professional baseball versus professional football, focusing on the significance and relevance of measurable variables:
Baseball Analytics
1. Nature of the Game:
- Discrete Events: Baseball is composed of a series of discrete events (pitches, at-bats, fielding plays), which are easier to isolate and analyze.
- Large Sample Size: Each player has many opportunities (e.g., hundreds of at-bats or innings pitched) to generate data, leading to robust statistical analysis.
2. Measurable Variables:
- Pitching Metrics: ERA, WHIP, strikeout rates, and pitch velocities.
- Hitting Metrics: Batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, exit velocity, and launch angle.
- Fielding Metrics: Defensive runs saved (DRS), ultimate zone rating (UZR), and fielding percentage.
3. Impact of Analytics:
- Player Evaluation: Sabermetrics have revolutionized how players are valued (e.g., Moneyball).
- In-Game Decisions: Data-driven decisions on shifts, pitch selection, and batting order.
- Long-Term Strategy: Teams use analytics for draft strategy, player development, and contract negotiations.
Football Analytics
1. Nature of the Game:
- Complex Interactions: Football involves complex interactions among 22 players on the field, making it harder to isolate individual contributions.
- Smaller Sample Size: Fewer games and plays per season result in a smaller data set for analysis.
2. Measurable Variables:
- Player Metrics: Yardage (passing, rushing, receiving), touchdowns, and interceptions.
- Team Metrics: Points scored, points allowed, and time of possession.
- Advanced Metrics: Expected points added (EPA), win probability, and player tracking data (e.g., Next Gen Stats).
3. Impact of Analytics:
- Player Evaluation: Combines traditional scouting with data on player efficiency and situational performance.
- In-Game Decisions: Fourth-down decision-making, play-calling tendencies, and clock management.
- Long-Term Strategy: Roster construction, injury prevention, and game planning.
Conclusion
Baseball:
- Statistical Significance and Relevance: Due to the discrete nature of events and the large sample size, baseball analytics yield statistically significant and relevant insights. These metrics can be highly predictive of future performance and directly influence game outcomes and player evaluation.
Football:
- Data Insufficiency: The complex interactions on the field, smaller sample sizes, and greater variability make it more challenging to derive statistically significant and actionable insights. While analytics are useful for strategic planning and situational decisions, they are less deterministic compared to baseball.
In summary, while analytics play a critical role in both sports, the measurable variables in baseball are more statistically significant and relevant due to the nature of the game, leading to clearer and more direct applications. In contrast, football's complexity and variability mean that while data can inform strategy, it often requires a more nuanced and context-dependent approach.
Monday, July 22, 2024
Winning Head Coaches
Here is a list of Cleveland Browns head coaches who have a lifetime winning percentage greater than .500:
1. Paul Brown (1946–1962)
- Regular season: 111-44-5 (.714)
- Playoffs: 9-5 (.643)
2. Blanton Collier (1963–1970)
- Regular season: 76-34-2 (.688)
- Playoffs: 3-4 (.429)
3. Nick Skorich (1971–1974)
- Regular season: 30-24-2 (.556)
- Playoffs: 0-2 (.000)
4. Marty Schottenheimer (1984–1988)
- Regular season: 44-27 (.620)
- Playoffs: 2-4 (.333)
5. Kevin Stefanski (2020–present)
- Regular season: 37-31 (.544)
- Playoffs: 1-2 (.333)
Sunday, July 21, 2024
2024: It is all about Deshaun
Every season when I predict where the Cleveland Browns will finish in the ultra tough AFC North Division, I ask myself one question.
What if the GM's of the Cincinnati Bengals, Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers called and each of them offered the following trade? Their entire roster for the complete roster of the Cleveland Browns.
If that were to happen tomorrow the only team I would say no to is the Pittsburgh Steelers. Why? Because in the NFL it is all about the QB.
If Deshaun Watson returns to the status he once enjoyed as a Top 5 QB the answer "no" would be easy.
So in 2024, Browns fans, it is all about Deshaun. If his shoulder is sound and the scheme fits his talent, the Browns are going to set the world on fire.
If not, third place is our best case scenario, albeit in the AFC North that still might mean a playoff appearance.
Saturday, July 20, 2024
NFL Football Hall of Fame - Is the Election Process Broken?
I am primarily a Browns fan but since we reside in the best division in the NFL, by far, I have taken to following the Ravens, Steelers and Bengals almost as closely as I follow our Browns.
One of my absolute pet peeves is the fact that Browns great Clay Matthews is not in the Hall of Fame. It's an injustice to his amazing career.
It is hard to not feel some real affection for the Bengals because in a sense, were it not for Art Modell's poor judgement, Paul Brown would have guided the Browns instead of forming the expansion Bengals and today Mike Brown would most likely be running the Browns.
In the process of following the Bengals I have identified 3 more overwhelmingly deserving players who should be in Canton: Ken Anderson, Tim Krumrie and Corey Dillon. When you examine the numbers, there is an overwhelming case for each of these athletes.
Clay Matthews Jr.
- Teams: Cleveland Browns (1978-1993), Atlanta Falcons (1994-1996)
- Career Highlights:
- Played 19 seasons in the NFL, 16 of which were with the Cleveland Browns.
- Four-time Pro Bowler (1985, 1987, 1988, 1989).
- Recorded 1,561 tackles, 69.5 sacks, and 16 interceptions in his career.
- Known for his durability and consistency, playing in 278 games, which is the 17th most in NFL history.
Hall of Fame Case:
- Matthews' longevity and productivity are hallmarks of his career. His 1,561 tackles are among the highest ever recorded.
- His four Pro Bowl selections highlight his peak performance years.
- Matthews was a key player in the Browns' defensive success during the 1980s, leading to multiple playoff appearances.
- Few linebackers have demonstrated the combination of durability, consistency, and high-level play over such an extended period.
Ken Anderson
Team: Cincinnati Bengals (1971-1986)
Career Highlights:
- NFL MVP (1981)
- Four-time Pro Bowler (1975, 1976, 1981, 1982)
- NFL Offensive Player of the Year (1981)
- Led the Bengals to Super Bowl XVI
- Led the NFL in passer rating four times (1974, 1975, 1981, 1982)
- Passed for 32,838 yards and 197 touchdowns with a passer rating of 81.9
Hall of Fame Case:
- Anderson was one of the most accurate and efficient passers of his era.
- His 1981 MVP season was one of the best by a quarterback in the early 1980s, leading the Bengals to their first Super Bowl appearance.
- Anderson's career passer rating was among the best of his time, and his completion percentage ranks high historically.
- His innovation in the short passing game helped pave the way for modern passing offenses.
Corey Dillon
Teams: Cincinnati Bengals (1997-2003), New England Patriots (2004-2006)
Career Highlights:
- Four-time Pro Bowler (1999, 2000, 2001, 2004)
- Super Bowl Champion (XXXIX)
- Set the then-NFL single-game rushing record with 278 yards (2000)
- Rushed for 11,241 yards and 82 touchdowns in his career
Hall of Fame Case:
- Dillon's career rushing yards place him in the top 20 all-time.
- His single-game rushing record stood for six years and remains one of the top performances in NFL history.
- Dillon was a key player in the Patriots' 2004 Super Bowl run, providing balance to their offense.
- His consistency and ability to perform at a high level on both struggling and successful teams showcase his talent and versatility.
Tim Krumrie
Team: Cincinnati Bengals (1983-1994)
Career Highlights:
- Two-time Pro Bowler (1987, 1988)
- Played in Super Bowl XXIII
- Recorded 34 sacks and 13 fumble recoveries
- Known for his toughness
Hall of Fame Case:
- Krumrie was a dominant force in the middle of the Bengals' defensive line for over a decade.
- His toughness and durability, epitomized by his quick return from a devastating leg injury, made him a respected figure in the NFL.
- Krumrie's leadership and performance were crucial in the Bengals' successful seasons in the late 1980s.
- Krumrie is the only defensive lineman with at least 600 combined tackles during the 1980s
Tuesday, July 16, 2024
Great Games in Browns History: A Night to Remember - Cleveland Browns' Victory Over the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football
The late 1970s were tumultuous times for Cleveland. The city had recently faced one of its most challenging periods, culminating in 1978 with a financial crisis that led to Cleveland becoming the first major American city to default on its debts since the Great Depression. The once-thriving industrial hub was grappling with a declining manufacturing base, increasing unemployment, and a tarnished national image following the infamous Cuyahoga River fire in 1969.
Despite these hardships, Clevelanders displayed an unwavering spirit. The city was on a mission to rebuild its reputation and regain its footing. Amidst this backdrop of economic struggle and civic determination, sports provided a vital outlet for communal pride and joy. The Cleveland Browns, with their storied history and passionate fanbase, became a beacon of hope.
On September 24, 1979, Cleveland Browns fans packed Cleveland Municipal Stadium, creating an electric atmosphere for a highly anticipated Monday Night Football showdown against the formidable Dallas Cowboys. The game was not just a contest between two NFL teams; it was a moment of unity and defiance for a city eager to demonstrate its resilience.
The Game Unfolds
From the opening whistle, it was clear that this game would be a thriller. The Cowboys, led by quarterback Roger Staubach, came in as one of the league's elite teams. But the Browns, under the leadership of head coach Sam Rutigliano and quarterback Brian Sipe, were ready for the challenge.
The game started with both teams testing each other's defenses, but it wasn't long before the Browns made a statement. The defining moment of the first half came when Brian Sipe connected with Ozzie Newsome on a long touchdown pass. Newsome, a future Hall of Famer, showcased his athleticism and hands, sprinting past the Cowboys' secondary and into the end zone. This play electrified the crowd and set the tone for the rest of the game.
By halftime, the Browns had the game firmly under control, leading 20-7. The crowd, numbering over 83,000, was ecstatic, sensing a significant victory on the horizon.
Dominance in the Second Half
The second half saw the Browns maintaining their dominance. The defense played with ferocity, keeping the Cowboys' offense in check and preventing any substantial comeback attempts. Meanwhile, the offense continued to execute effectively, adding crucial points to extend their lead.
The atmosphere in Cleveland Municipal Stadium was electric. Fans, buoyed by the team's performance, created a deafening roar that reverberated throughout the city. Every tackle, every pass, and every yard gained was met with cheers of approval from the loyal supporters.
The Victory and Its Meaning
The Browns secured a convincing 26-7 victory over the Cowboys, a result that resonated deeply with the fans and the city. The win was not just a triumph on the football field; it was a symbolic victory for Cleveland itself. It provided a much-needed morale boost to a city that had faced numerous challenges and setbacks.
For the fans, the victory was a testament to their unwavering support and belief in their team. It was a night that transcended sports, providing a sense of pride and accomplishment that extended beyond the stadium. The Browns' victory became a rallying point, a reminder that despite the economic and social challenges, Clevelanders could still stand tall and proud.
A Legacy of Hope and Resilience
The 1979 Monday Night Football game between the Cleveland Browns and the Dallas Cowboys remains one of the most cherished memories in the history of the franchise. It exemplified the spirit of a city and its people, resilient in the face of adversity and united in their love for their team.
As Cleveland continued its journey towards recovery and revitalization, the Browns' victory served as a beacon of hope, reminding everyone that even in the darkest times, there are moments of brilliance and triumph that can lift an entire community.
Monday, July 15, 2024
The Top 5 Gambling Scandals in NFL History
Friday, July 12, 2024
Browns Raiders Playoff Game 1980 - Parallel Universe
Sunday, July 7, 2024
Getting in Bed with the Devil: The NFL and Gambling
The percentage of NFL revenues derived from gambling is currently estimated to be a relatively small portion of the total income. In 2023, the NFL received around $132 million from gambling-related sponsorships, including partnerships with major sports betting companies like Caesars Entertainment, DraftKings, and FanDuel. This figure is expected to grow significantly, with projections suggesting that legalized sports betting could eventually generate over $2.3 billion annually for the NFL.
Given that the NFL's total annual revenue exceeds $18 billion, gambling revenue currently constitutes less than 1% of its total earnings. However, as the sports betting market continues to expand and more states legalize sports betting, this percentage is likely to increase.
The Brown BLog plan to do a deeper dive on this in the coming months.
Friday, July 5, 2024
Top 10 Lists: The Greatest Teams in Professional Football History
Here is a list of the 10 greatest teams in the history of professional football, as measured by the number of League Championships
Here's a list of the top ten American professional football teams with the most league championships, including titles from the NFL, AFL, AAFC, WFL, and USFL:
1. **Green Bay Packers**
- **Total Championships: 13**
- NFL Championships: 9 (1929, 1930, 1931, 1936, 1939, 1944, 1961, 1962, 1965)
- Super Bowl Titles: 4 (Super Bowls I, II, XXXI, XLV)
2. **Chicago Bears**
- **Total Championships: 9**
- NFL Championships: 8 (1921, 1932, 1933, 1940, 1941, 1943, 1946, 1963)
- Super Bowl Titles: 1 (Super Bowl XX)
3. **Cleveland Browns**
- **Total Championships: 8**
- AAFC Championships: 4 (1946, 1947, 1948, 1949)
- NFL Championships: 4 (1950, 1954, 1955, 1964)
4. **New York Giants**
- **Total Championships: 8**
- NFL Championships: 4 (1927, 1934, 1938, 1956)
- Super Bowl Titles: 4 (Super Bowls XXI, XXV, XLII, XLVI)
5. **New England Patriots**
- **Total Championships: 6**
- Super Bowl Titles: 6 (Super Bowls XXXVI, XXXVIII, XXXIX, XLIX, LI, LIII)
6. **Pittsburgh Steelers**
- **Total Championships: 6**
- Super Bowl Titles: 6 (Super Bowls IX, X, XIII, XIV, XL, XLIII)
7. **San Francisco 49ers**
- **Total Championships: 5**
- Super Bowl Titles: 5 (Super Bowls XVI, XIX, XXIII, XXIV, XXIX)
8. **Dallas Cowboys**
- **Total Championships: 5**
- Super Bowl Titles: 5 (Super Bowls VI, XII, XXVII, XXVIII, XXX)
9. **Detroit Lions**
- **Total Championships: 4**
- NFL Championships: 4 (1935, 1952, 1953, 1957)
10. **Philadelphia Eagles**
- **Total Championships: 4**
- NFL Championships: 3 (1948, 1949, 1960)
- Super Bowl Titles: 1 (Super Bowl LII)
Wednesday, July 3, 2024
Antitrust and the NFL
Tuesday, July 2, 2024
Browns History: All time leading tacklers
Here are the top 10 defensive players in the history of the Cleveland Browns by most tackles (combined solo and assists), with statistics accumulated only during their time with the Browns:
### 1. **Clay Matthews Jr. - 1,430 tackles**
- **Summary**: Clay Matthews Jr. is the Browns' all-time leader in tackles, amassing 1,430 over his career with the team from 1978 to 1993. Known for his durability and versatility, Matthews played both inside and outside linebacker positions. He was a four-time Pro Bowl selection and played in 278 games for the Browns, leaving an indelible mark on the franchise with his consistent performance and leadership.
### 2. **D'Qwell Jackson - 824 tackles**
- **Summary**: D'Qwell Jackson played for the Browns from 2006 to 2013, recording 824 tackles. Jackson led the NFL in tackles in 2008 and was known for his exceptional tackling ability and leadership on the field. He was a cornerstone of the Browns' defense during his tenure, providing stability and production in the middle of the defense.
### 3. **Mike Johnson - 757 tackles**
- **Summary**: Mike Johnson played linebacker for the Browns from 1986 to 1993, accumulating 757 tackles. Johnson was a two-time Pro Bowl selection and a key player in the Browns' defense during the late 1980s and early 1990s. He was known for his tackling prowess and leadership, helping the Browns reach the AFC Championship Game in 1986 and 1989.
### 4. **Andra Davis - 751 tackles**
- **Summary**: Andra Davis played for the Browns from 2002 to 2008, totaling 751 tackles. A reliable and consistent presence at linebacker, Davis was often the team's leading tackler. He was known for his work ethic, leadership, and ability to make plays in the middle of the field.
### 5. **Jim Houston - 625 tackles**
- **Summary**: Jim Houston played for the Browns from 1960 to 1972, recording 625 tackles. A versatile linebacker, Houston was a four-time Pro Bowl selection and a key member of the 1964 NFL Championship team. He was known for his tackling ability and defensive skills, contributing significantly to the Browns' success during his career.
### 6. **Chip Banks - 602 tackles**
- **Summary**: Chip Banks played linebacker for the Browns from 1982 to 1986, amassing 602 tackles. Banks was named the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year in 1982 and earned four Pro Bowl selections. He was known for his athleticism, tackling ability, and playmaking skills, making him one of the standout defensive players of his era.
### 7. **Thom Darden - 589 tackles**
- **Summary**: Thom Darden played safety for the Browns from 1972 to 1981, recording 589 tackles. Known for his tackling and ball-hawking skills, Darden holds the franchise record for interceptions. He was selected to the Pro Bowl in 1978 and was a consistent force in the Browns' secondary, contributing to both the run and pass defense.
### 8. **Eddie Johnson - 579 tackles**
- **Summary**: Eddie Johnson, a linebacker, played for the Browns from 1981 to 1990, recording 579 tackles. Known for his hard-hitting style and aggressive play, Johnson was a key player in the Browns' defense throughout the 1980s. He was a fan favorite for his intensity and dedication on the field.
### 9. **Joe Haden - 387 tackles**
- **Summary**: Joe Haden, a cornerback, played for the Browns from 2010 to 2016, totaling 387 tackles. Known for his coverage skills and tackling ability, Haden was a two-time Pro Bowl selection with the Browns. He was a cornerstone of the Browns' secondary during his tenure and continued his career with the Pittsburgh Steelers, maintaining a high level of play.
### 10. **Bob Golic - 345 tackles**
- **Summary**: Bob Golic played as a defensive tackle and linebacker for the Browns from 1982 to 1988, recording 345 tackles. He was known for his versatility and toughness on the field, earning three Pro Bowl selections. Golic was a key figure in the Browns' defense, contributing both as a run-stopper and pass rusher, and was instrumental in the team's playoff runs during the 1980s.