Thursday, January 3, 2013

Weeden's inaccurate rookie year

The BL has decided to rely on statistical facts when it comes to assessing Brandon Weeden.  As they say on Dragnet, "just the facts please."

Weeden was ranked number 29 out of 32 QB's in passer rating during his rookie campaign.  Many pundits are willing to forgive him that ranking because the passer rating system is a confusing formula driven by many metrics.  However when looking deeper into Weeden's stats some troubling trends show up.  First of all, as we pointed out in a previous blog, Weeden was absolutely terrible in the red zone with a 41% completion percent in the red zone.   Go sit in the corner rookie because you flunked that test.

Moving to other metrics where one would think that Weeden's rocket arm would help.  A strong arm is supposed to be Weeden's biggest asset but on passes thrown 20 yards or longer, he has one of the lowest completion percentages in the NFL.  In 2012 Weeden threw 52 passes that were in the air for 20 yards or more but only completed 11 of those passes.   What good is it having a rocket arm if you're inaccurate??

Of major concern is Weeden's drop in accuracy when throwing to the sidelines.   When throwing to the left sideline, Weeden completed only 50% of his throws and when throwing to the right sideline Weeden completed only 53.4%.   Even Ryan Fitzpatrick, universally viewed as an ordinary QB, has better numbers than Weeden when throwing to the sidelines.   Only Andrew Luck drops below Weeden on left sideline passes with a 47% completion rate.    No QB came close to Weeden's high intercept rate on sideline passes.

The sideline pass is a basic staple of a great QB and Weeden struggles here badly.  Particularly troubling is Weeden's interception rate on sideline passes.  It's more proof that Weeden has real issues with his depth perception and his ability to see the play unfold at the velocity of the NFL.   The numbers don't lie -

Weeden passing stats:









Fitzpatrick passing stats:









RGIII passing stats:









Russell Wilson passing stats:









Luck passing stats:









Peyton Manning stats:









Aaron Rodgers stats:

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