Last week the BL slipped to a 2-2 record after our perfect first week. I'll say this, if Denver simply knew how to play prevent defense we'd have been 3-1 but I am not complaining. It was wonderful to watch a John Elway team lose one that they should have won.
This week I believe there is one easy game to predict and one that's quite difficult.
Baltimore 21
New England 31
The Patriots have too much firepower for the Ravens.
Atlanta 30
SF 28
As a fan, I would love for SF and their young QB Colin Kaepernick to win this game. But one lesson I've learned predicting games is to remove emotion. The reason I'd like SF to win is that I believe a running QB is an evolution to the NFL game, not a gimmick. The passing game has become so important that most defenses are 100% focused on defending the pass downfield. 3-6 men will pin back their ears and rush while the remaining defenders are 100% focused on pass defense. The read option offense, driven by a QB who can run and pass, is the perfect tactical counter to sophisticated pass defenses and I believe that read option teams are going to win Super Bowls in the next 5 years. Were SF to win the Super Bowl this year, it would prove the point a bit early, however let's say that this Super Bowl is the last hurrah for traditional QBs.
Atlanta has home field advantage and a more experienced QB. Furthermore they've had time to put in some special wrinkles for San Fran's young QB. I underline young because this is a championship game and let's remember that Kaepernick has less than one full season of starting experience. Mistakes often decide playoff games. Odds are the Kaepernick is going to make a key error at some point and if he does, Atlanta will win a close one.
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