Sunday, September 1, 2013

Half empty or half full

The pre season is finished and once again many Browns fans out there are optimistic about the prospects for our Browns in 2013.  Why do fans see the glass as being half full you ask?   Beats me because if we look at the facts 2013 promises to be as dreadful a year as any in the last decade.

Let's stack up just a few:

- in the opening game our right guard is Oniel Cousins.   Mr. Cousins is not an NFL quality player and since this is a game of 11 offensive players against 11 defenders, it's already a major disadvantage to have one player that the defense can dominate.

- Our starting right cornerback Buster Skrines, is not a very good NFL player.   He will be eaten alive by opposing QBs.

- The Browns personnel office, led by Mike Lombardi is currently scouring the waiver wires to try to find a place kicker... uh, one week before the start of the NFL season.   I don't get why Browns fans are not in a panic about that bit of horrible planning.

- The Browns personnel office, led by Mike Lombardi is currently scouring the NFL waiver wires looking for key position players to help us at cornerback, right guard and free safety.  That means that other NFL team's rejects will be contributors on the Browns.

- As of today our Browns have 5 undrafted free agents who made the 53 man roster.  Chud calls this a "great job by the scouting staff."   Others might call it desperation driven by the fact that we do not have enough talent on the team.

Ask yourselves how many undrafted players in the history of the NFL have made the Canton Hall of Fame or even the Pro Bowl.   The answer is an extraordinarily low percentage.   Does that mean Josh Aubrey or others won't be any good.  No it does not, it just means that the percentages tell us they probably will not.  Factor in Mike Lombardi's 20 year track year on picking talent and the odds get even lower. Even when skilled personnel execs are choosing the players, it's high draft picks that tend to become stars for NFL teams not undrafted free agents.

Do I think the Browns are going to win 7 to 9 games this year like most of the local journalists do?  Just remember those writers who state the Browns will win 8 games all are worried about getting press access to the team.  I could care less if Joe Banner ever talks to me and so I'll predict 1-4 wins in 2013 is much more likely to be the outcome for our Browns
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