Brown BLog Predicts: Game 7 Football is an emotional Game!

Football is an emotional game and this Sunday, the Browns are going to get a big emotional boost by the return of Nick Chubb.   His return could not happen at a better time because the team is falling apart at 1-5.   Chubb symbolizes everything that is great about the Browns and the Cleveland area.   He is a no nonsense worker much like this blue collar city.

However great Nick Chubb is, he is coming back from a devastating injury.   His presence alone will give the team an emotional boost but he will also be on a pitch count.   The Browns won't say what exactly that pitch count is but most pundits believe he will be limited to 10 carries and maybe a couple of pass catches.

Is it enough?

I have been following the Bengals all year on the Bengals Booth Podcast.   The team might be 2-4 but they are not a bad team.   The barely lost to both the Chiefs and Ravens.   They have a top 5 QB and loads of talent on offense including Ja' Marr Chase, arguably the best pass catcher in the game.   People are knocking their defense but I don't buy that either.   Their defense is capable.

The other shortcoming the Bengals have vs the Browns is that the Cleveland Browns are a team built to stop the Bengals.   The Browns are small and fast at linebacker and Cleveland has a deep reserve of excellent defensive backs.   Many teams understand this and force the Browns to stop their run game.  The Bengals however have always refused to exploit Cleveland's vulnerability to the run game or even scheme to beat the Browns attacking defense.   Hence Cleveland has dominated the rivalry with the Burrow era Bengals going 1-5 when Burrow is in the driver seat.

So I believe the Browns are going to win tomorrow right?

I just can't do it.   Why?   Because Deshaun Watson and his diminished skillset is the leader of the Browns.   His shoulder and whatever emotional baggage comes from the rollercoaster of accusations these last 3 years have changed him.   He's now a top 100 QB, not a top 5 and in the NFL a bad performance from the QB usually translates to losses like it has this season for the Browns.  Furthermore Paul DePodesta have never been one to try to win ugly and since Paul DePodesta's voice weighs heavily in this org, neither does Kevin Stefanski win ugly.

The Browns won't run 60% of the time and pass conservatively.   Nor will Nick Chubb get 20 carries.  I think the Bengals will not test the Browns by running more, they never do but they have been passing more conservatively which nowadays done right, is almost as good as a run.

The Brown BLog Predict

Bengals         27

Browns         17

The Brown BLog are 4-2 predicting Browns games this season

The Brook Park Volunteers!

The Cleveland Browns, an iconic NFL franchise, may be facing a name change when the team finally relocates to it's new dome stadium 10 miles away to nearby Brook Park, Ohio. This scenario stems from a law tied to the departure of former Browns owner Art Modell. When Modell moved the team to Baltimore in 1996, Ohio lawmakers passed legislation (often referred to as the "Art Modell law") that effectively ensures the Browns name stays in Cleveland, no matter where the team may go.  This legal framework means that even a short move to a neighboring municipality could strip the team of its the Browns name. If the Browns were to relocate to Brook Park, the team could be forced to adopt a new identity.  Frankly, I hope our legislators pursue this issue to the fullest extent.   The Browns should be a Cleveland brand and only Cleveland.

So what should the new name of our Northern Ohio NFL team be?

If the team moves to Brook Park, the combination of Ohio's legal stipulations and the Haslams' connections to Tennessee makes the idea of the Brook Park Volunteers a logical outcome. 

Go Vols! 

1-5

 Browns need to go 4-0 next week

Back to Basics!

Kevin Stefanski recently stated that the Browns need to get back to basics.   

Bill Walsh, the legendary coach of the San Francisco 49ers, was known for his strategic brilliance and insightful commentary on coaching and football culture. When asked about NFL coaches who claim they need to "get back to basics," Walsh famously said that this often signals a coach’s admission of having failed in their coaching responsibilities. He believed that a well-prepared team should already be fundamentally sound, and that such statements were essentially an excuse for poor planning, lack of foresight, or inability to properly teach and implement a game plan.

In Walsh’s view, saying a team needs to return to basics reflects a lack of preparation or failure in the process, as the fundamentals should have been ingrained throughout the training process. He championed a more sophisticated, methodical approach to coaching, emphasizing preparation and precision over broad, generalized fixes like "getting back to basics."

Brown BLog Predicts: Game 6 vs Eagles - It is all about improvement

John Harbaugh once aptly referred to the NFL season as a "race to improve" and it's clear that Sunday against the Eagles the Cleveland Browns are going to improve in every way.

Will that translate to a victory against the Eagles?  Of course not but if the Browns cannot improve in the following areas tomorrow, then we Browns fans are looking at 4 or fewer wins this year.

What shall be improved?

- Jim Schwartz stated that against the Commanders the Browns defense gave up 7 big plays for a total 280 yards.  In the other 58 plays, the Browns D only gave up an average of 2.5 yards per play.   So great news, I see the Browns improving on D and only giving up a maximum of 6 big plays to the Eagles.

- Deshaun Watson has yet to throw for 200 yards this season.  He is ranked near the bottom in pretty much every statistical category.  I predict he will throw for 200+ yards against the Eagles.

- The Browns have yet to reach 300 yards of total offense in a game this season.  I believe they will improve and exceed 300 yards. 

The depressing fact is that ALL of the above improvements are achievable at the same time they are significantly below the bar of what it takes to win in the NFL. 

Of course, the Eagles are rested and healthy and coming off a bye week following a big loss to Tampa and their MVP candidate QB Baker Mayfield.   The Eagles will be motivated at home to win.

Brown BLog Predicts

Eagles        31

Browns      17

The Brown BLog are 3-2 Predicting Browns games this season.   Better than every paid Browns pundit out there, because as a private blog we can call it as we see it.

Browns Innovation: The CFL Package!

The Browns boast the NFL's largest investment in Analytics and Sunday they unveiled their latest well researched innovation:  The CFL Package!   Twice on defense and once on offense the Browns looked to use their new CFL Package based on sophisticated research showing that CFL teams, who utilize 12 players, are able to cover larger parts of the field.   

Of course, the one obstacle is that in the NFL it is against the rules to have 12 men on the field however our sources indicate that the Browns believe that if they attempt the 12 man formation at times in the game when the refs are tired the Browns may well be able to avert detection.  The Browns Analytics department states that the odds of achieving a chunk play on offense or shutting down an opponent on defense increase by 9.09% with one extra athlete on the field!!

So fear not, Browns loyalists, the Browns might be 1-4 this season but they are deeply engaged in identifying areas of innovation that can still save the season for this team.

Brown BLog Predicts: Game 5 - Facing a Rookie QB

Jayden Daniels is a sensation early on in the 2024 Season which makes the Commanders a favorite to beat the floundering Browns tomorrow.   

I have never been a fan of rookie QB's and in fact I think Daniels is going to get a serious dose of reality Sunday against the Browns D which will be extra motivated to shut him down.   Fact is that thus far this season Daniels has faced mostly zone defenses.   The Browns are going to be the first time he faces a team that can cover man to man and will do so much of the game.   The Browns small but fast linebackers are ideally suited to handle Daniels ability to run.

Does that mean I think the Browns are going to win tomorrow?   It will be a tight game because I do not see the Commanders running up a lot of points however Dan Quinn is a good coach and I see him crafting a game plan that will be quite conservative.  He knows the Browns are going to try to frustrate his rookie QB so he's going to change tendencies, running a lot.

The Browns should be able to move the ball against Washington but this Browns team is already starting to tear at the seams due to injury and the diminished skillsets of key players, not the least of which is Deshaun Watson.

Look for a tight battle but yet another close heart wrenching defeat for the Browns.

Brown BLog Predicts

Washington         20

Cleveland            17

The Brown BLog are 2-2 season to date picking Browns games.

Stupid is as Stupid Does: Part II

Dustin Hopkins did not get a single kick in the Pre Season and the Browns never said more than the lame "he has a minor injury but will be ready for the regular season."  Sure, ok.

Against the Raiders, Hopkins missed a critical extra point.   Against the Giants, Hopkins missed a Field Goal that could have changed the game.  Could the Pre Season work have helped Hopkins tune his game?   Of course, that's why they have a Pre Season.

Why did the Browns not give Hopkins any reps?  So they could show off Cade York, who had previously flopped with the Browns after they made a big time stretch and picked him in the 4th round.   The Browns did trade York to the Commanders, who insisted however that York prove himself for 2 whole games.  Naturally York stumbled in Game 1 and the Commanders cut him. 

Net Result:

- Browns invest an entire Pre Season in York and end up with NOTHING

- Dustin Hopkins misses have contributed to 2 of the 3 Browns losses.

Stupid.

Brown BLog Predicts: Week 4 - Browns vs Raiders

 

Since the Paul DePodesta era began, the Browns have adopted an optimist view of player evaluation that assumes an athlete the Browns deem NFL worthy, will play at an NFL level of proficiency, regardless of what the Browns might see in practice.  In the case of proven starters, the Browns like many NFL teams, chose to avoid putting an athlete at risk of harm in the pre season.  In the case of young players, the Browns philosophy is that playing time is a key to player development and it's fair to say that if the Browns believe in an athlete they will give him playing time regardless of whether he has earned it.  Just ask Anthony Schwartz.

Thus far this season, it's the teams like Kansas City and Pittsburgh that are going well because they require players to earn their playing time by proving in the pre season they are still NFL quality.  This season Dawand Jones is obviously playing on a right knee that is limited.   The Browns learned this only when Deshaun Watson started getting hit.   They are also learning that Deshaun Watson's shoulder might well be healed but he has not regained 100% of his previous capacity.   Surgery techniques are so advanced today that athletes are often able to retain 100% of their pre injury strength, quickness and durability.   But Deshaun Watson's injury was not a common one yet the Browns seem to believe that if Watson can throw the ball 50 yards downfield he must be 100% but let's allow ourselves to examine the possibility that Watson has lost something.   In a game where a split second can be the difference between winning and losing, sorry to say, so far the evidence points to the possibility that Deshaun has lost that split second.  

The Raiders are hurting with Maxx Crosby probably out and Davonte Adams out for sure, but the Browns are short David Njoku and Myles Garrett is not exactly 100%.    But the biggest factor has to be Deshaun Watson.   He might be healthy but his shoulder is 80% to 90% of what it once was and the worry here is that is now his ceiling.   If so, that is not good enough and this promises to be a very long season for the Browns

The Brown BLog Predict

Raiders            24

Browns            16

The Brown BLog are 1-2 season to date 

Brown BLog Predicts: Game 3 Browns vs. Giants

 

This is a game the Browns should win but as the pundits like to say on any given Sunday anything can happen in the NFL.   However, I think the Browns should and will win.

Look for Deshaun Watson to have a big game on Sunday.   His toughness against Dallas and his resilience against Jacksonville has been impressive.   It feels like Deshaun is going to pass for at least 250 yards and a couple touchdowns and the Browns roll.

Brown BLog Predicts

Browns   31

Giants     17

The Brown BLog are 1-1 predicting Browns games this season. 

Brown BLog Predicts: Game 2 on the Road in Jacksonville

 

The Brown BLog correctly predicted the shit show against the Cowboys in the Season Opener, sorry to say that I saw it coming.  

This week vs Jacksonville is a bit harder to call, but here we go.  

I see three factors lining up that tip the prediction.   That said, there is no way the Browns are going to play nearly as bad against Jacksonville but in any case here are the issues with tomorrow's game:

• The home team wins about 56% of the time in the NFL, it's harder to win on the road
• To increase their odds of beating Jacksonville, the Browns need to lean on their defense and the offense needs to play complimentary ball, supporting their defense by eating clock and playing conservatively on offense.   Paul DePodesta does not believe in winning ugly and since he runs strategy, the Browns never play football that way.  It's all about 20 yard gains, even if your talent is not capable of achieving those big gains on a regular basis.
• Kevin Stefanski is not calling the game in a way that fits exactly what Ken Dorsey is trying to do, and this is not helping our $230,000,000 QB play freely.

I see a Field Goal being the difference in this game.  Specifically I see a Field Goal that the Browns don't try to kick being the difference.   At some point the Browns will have a 4th and 1 inside the Jacksonville 40 and Paul DePodesta's team will speak into Offensive Coordinator Kevin Stefanski's headset to demand the Browns go for it.   Result will be predictable.   Jacksonville's ball.

Brown Blog Predicts

Jacksonville 21

Browns        20

The Brown BLog are 1-0 this season.

Dear Deshaun

 Dear Deshaun,

I hope this letter finds you well—or at least as well as someone can be under the immense pressure of nationwide scrutiny and public outrage. But fear not! I’ve cracked the code for you, and it’s not only simple, it’s tremendously successful. The answer, my friend, is right in front of you: Donald Trump.

Yes, Donald J. Trump—the man who rose from the ashes of controversy to lead a nation—has created the blueprint for turning scandal into success, and I believe you, Deshaun, can do the same. Let me walk you through how to “Make Deshaun Great Again.”

Just like Trump handled his minor problems with accusations of misconduct, never admit to anything—ever.  You are doing well here, keep it up!  Even if there are 26 allegations against you, or 26,000, it’s all part of a politically motivated hoax. Say it loud, say it proud: "Fake news!"

Trump didn’t back down when tapes surfaced of him saying incriminating things. He called it “locker room talk.” You, too, can use this powerful tool. Next time someone brings up the allegations, brush it off: "It’s just post-massage banter." Easy. The key is to never apologize. Apologies are for losers.

The more you attack, the more your fans will rally around you. Remember, when Trump was faced with accusations, did he apologize? No! He went after the women, calling them liars, saying they were out to get money or fame. You should do the same. Paint your accusers as opportunists, part of some grand conspiracy to take down an NFL superstar. Say they're just jealous of your success.

Bonus points: SUE THEM. Trump is the king of lawsuits. Every accusation? Counter it with a lawsuit for defamation. Flood the courts with legal action. It’ll tie everything up in knots and make it seem like you’re the real victim here.

Here’s where you can truly shine. Twitter, Instagram, Threads—it’s all your playground. Trump mastered social media by going on the offensive, controlling the narrative, and never letting anyone else speak louder than him.

You need to be active—tweet constantly. Every day, remind your followers that you are a fighter. Post workout videos. Show how dedicated you are to football and how you’ve “overcome adversity.” Sprinkle in posts about charity work, thanking God, and, of course, retweeting anyone who supports you, no matter how fringe. The goal is to flood the space with your voice so that your version of events is the only one people hear.

When things get too hot, Trump goes on TV. You should too. Sit down with the friendliest possible media outlet (think Fox Sports or someone who will ask questions about your “grit” and how you’re “dealing with adversity”).

Look for an opportunity to use TV appearances to pivot the narrative. If asked about the allegations, use the classic Trump line: "These are just distractions from the important work I’m doing." Bring it back to football, bring it back to your dedication. Remind people that you’re just here to win games.

But, when the media attacks you, attack back! Claim bias. Trump has his "fake news" war. You can have your "NFL media vendetta" campaign. Say they’re trying to tear down successful Black men or spin it as part of the larger war against athletes. This will not only flip the blame but also galvanize your base of supporters.

Trump’s key to maintaining dominance over a scandal is making even bigger, bolder statements that grab headlines. You need to take this same approach. For instance, when people bring up the allegations, respond with a wild, unrelated claim. Announce that you’re planning to start a massage therapy charity to help “fix the broken system.” It doesn’t have to make sense, it just has to divert attention.

Another winning suggestion, endorse Donald Trump for President and say you're considering running for political office after football. A bold move like that ensures that your NFL career becomes secondary to the massive "national conversation" about Deshaun Watson, the leader and it will motivate Trump's base to support you. You’re no longer just an athlete—now, you’re a potential future governor and President. Instant rebrand!

Trump’s most brilliant strategy? Cultivate an unshakable base.  He keeps his core supporters happy with constant praise and by telling them they’re smarter than everyone else. Do the same with your fans. Host exclusive events, give them special shout-outs, call them "the real MVPs." These fans will defend you at all costs, especially if they feel personally connected to you.

Finally, remember: It’s not about what happened, it’s about what you SAY happened. Trump didn’t let reality get in the way of his rise to power, and you shouldn’t either. With the right approach, Deshaun, you won’t just recover—you’ll thrive.  Not only that but after your NFL days are over, you will have opened the door to a very promising career in American Politics!

Yours respectfully, 

A fan

Brown BLog Predicts: Season Opener - Browns vs Cowboys

This Sunday is a match up of last season's best offense vs the best defense:

• Cowboys scored 29.9 points per game
• Browns led the NFL in shutting down opponents offense on Third Down

So who is going to win?

The Cowboys were consistent on offense last season, they scored more than 30 points in 11 of 17 games.   The Browns however were not quite as consistent on Defense.   When the Browns faced a great QB their defense had holes that could be exploited and veteran QB's were able to create.  Dak Prescott is a Franchise QB and Dallas will find ways to take advantage of Cleveland's aggressive defensive approach. 

Another key:  Can Dallas D keep Cleveland out of the end zone?  

Cleveland was average in the red zone last season with 57% of their red zone opportunities resulting in a TD.    Can the addition of Ken Dorsey improve that?   Well, it has to be hard for Dorsey to improve what he does not control.  Kevin Stefanski is calling the plays not Dorsey.   I see a disconnect there.  Combine that with the fact that the Cleveland offense has not had much of an opportunity in the Training Camp to practice together, and I think the Browns are going to continue to struggle in the red zone. 

Brown BLog Predicts:  Red Zone Efficiency leads to a big Dallas win

Dallas    34

Browns  23