Brown BLog Predicts: Doubling Down

 Over the 10 + years The Brown BLog have predicted Browns games, we have always had a winning record.  I probably came to believe that I actually know what I am talking about but truth be told, I usually predicted the Browns to lose and frankly, for as long as most can remember, predicting the Browns to lose is a winning formula.

This year the Brown BLog is 4-6 year to date predicting the outcome of Browns games.  Why?  Because more often than not, we see the Browns losing.

So maybe just maybe the 2023 Browns will make believers out of us naysayers?   Well, maybe but my view today is that even a homer should think seriously about the Browns chances of winning today.   But homers will all line up saying the Browns will win.  

Of course, the Brown BLog is doubling down on losing. 

Why double down on losing?

- It is extremely hard to win in Denver.  The average NFL home team wins about 56% of the time.  The Bronco's all time home winning percentage is about 63%

- Russell Wilson may be getting up there in years, but he can still run if he needs to and to beat the Browns amazing defense, the opposing QB has to rack up at least a handful of big runs.   

- Dorian Thompson Robinson took a solid step up vs the Steelers but he is a rookie and he still played mostly poorly vs the Steelers.  He has potential but he's a warm weather rookie QB playing his first NFL road game in one of the hardest stadiums for any visiting NFL team.   And the weather promises to be extremely cold.

- Last but not least Denzel Ward is out today.  That hurts, big time. 

Look for DTR to struggle.   Look for Russell Wilson to play well and look for the Browns to lose

The Brown BLog Predicts

Denver          20

Browns         10

The Brown Blog are 4-6 season to date.

Ohio's Football Tradition: Ohio State vs Michigan

If you want to understand the passion for football in Ohio, look no further than Ohio State Football.

Steeped in tradition, Buckeye football is nearly a religious experience on any given fall Saturday in Ohio.   Generations of Ohioans love their Buckeyes and sometimes the passion is so intense that it can be nearly embarrassing.   But passion it is.

Embarrassing?   Well, try attending an Ohio State vs Michigan game in Ann Arbor, Michigan and you might see what I mean.  Fans in Ann Arbor are polite and respectful of Ohio State fans which stands in sharp contrast to the behavior of many Buckeye fans at any home game in Columbus.

The Ohio State University themselves actually encourage this behavior with the relatively new and mostly not funny tradition of "crossing out" the M in many communications that the University themselves produce during Michigan week.   It is an utterly stupid, pointless and relatively new tradition that should be done away with.   

Why, ask you?

Stupid - Because effectively an institution of higher learning is defacing public property and encouraging poor spelling. 

Pointless - Because at it's worst, the demonization of the letter M encourages poor sportsmanship.

I hope the Buckeyes win this weekend, but you won't catch me getting caught up crossing out M's and hopefully someday our great University will find something positive to do during Michigan week.

The Brown BLog Predicts: Game 10 vs the Steelers - Experience

The Browns, under the leadership of Paul DePodesta, have spent much of the last 7 years doing two things:

 

- Losing games

- Trying desperately to prove conventional wisdom wrong 

Today vs the Steelers conventional wisdom says that a rookie QB will struggle.  In fact, as a case in point, the Browns even have data to prove that Damian Thompson-Robinson is going to struggle.   His performance in his first game vs the Ravens.   But let's ignore that data, after all, DTR, who was the Browns backup QB at the time, did not have a week to prepare as a starter when he played vs the Ravens.  Some message there, if you are a backup on the Browns, you are apparently excused for poor performance and preparation if you are a backup.

But Brock Purdy played well last year and he was the last pick in the 2022 draft!  Yes, he did but there are hundreds of other QBs who struggled in their rookie season.  Ignore that data?  Why not.

DTR starts today vs the Steelers.   The Browns know that PJ Walker gives them better odds of winning, data proves that however they must keep one foot in the future, and they believe DTR can improve his future value by playing now and there is no doubt that they believe that the Browns can go 4-4 with DTR at the commands.   

So get ready for a wild ride today knowing that the Browns still have games against the Jets, Bears, the Bengals without Burrow and the Rams.   Win every one of them for sure!   Even with a bad QB?   

Let's see

The Brown BLog Predict that our defense will be just fine but DTR won't

Steelers  30

Browns  10

The Brown BLog are 4-5 predicting Browns games this season.

Drinking the Kool Aid?

Either the Browns believe they can shape their future by the power of positive thinking or they are simply unwilling to face reality.   This week pushes all of the limits of their ability to spin.

SPIN FAILURES

1. You read it on the Brown BLog weeks ago that Deshaun Watson was heading towards a season ending shoulder injury.   Micro tears are STRUCTURAL damage because strong muscles support the shoulder structure and Watson's muscles were micro torn.  I felt you could see this season ended injury coming from miles away.  I guess Berea is simply too close to see it coming.  

2. The next big spin failure is one that we will have to confront this Sunday.   Our new spin is that DTR's performance against the Ravens was understandable because he did not have a full week to prepare as the starter.   DTR himself said that he did not even know some of the play calls coming in from Kevin Stefanski.

Are you drinking the Kool Aid??

I am not.   Why?

Well for starters

- Why is it that DTR after a full training camp, was not in command of his playbook?

- Why is it that DTR did not apparently take his role as backup QB seriously enough to prepare as if he might have to play?

If you drink the Browns Kool Aid and expect to see a new man at QB Sunday against the Steelers I suspect you're going to be seriously let down.

The Brown BLog Predicts: Quesions Answered - Week 9 vs Ravens

The Browns vs the Ravens will be the most important game the Browns have played in over two seasons because this game is going to answer a lot of questions.

Among the questions that we will have the answers to after Sunday's match:

- Are the Browns a Super Bowl contender?

- Is Kevin Stefanski capable of a flawless day of coaching, or will he continue to listen to Paul DePodesta's staff during the most critical moments of a game and make mind numbing decisions that mar games that are generally well planned on offense. 

Those are two pretty big questions.   A road game vs the very talented and well coached Ravens is a test.  Win it and pass.  Lose it and fail.

I see the Browns battling tomorrow but losing a relatively close battle.   But whether the Browns lose by 1 point or 30 a loss will be a failure that foreshadows yet another disappointing season for the Browns 

Brown BLog Predicts

Ravens    23

Browns   16

The Brown BLog are 4-4 this season predicting the outcome of Browns games.

CJ Stroud vs Deshaun Watson: What is the Difference?

After his remarkable performance last Sunday in an amazing come from behind victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaners, CJ Stroud was asked to explain his incredible success as a rookie QB in the NFL.

Stroud answered that he gave all the credit to his Lord and Savior Jesus Christ.

When fans seek to understand what is the difference between Deshaun Watson, a very good QB and CJ Stroud who is emerging as a world class QB the answer is in Stroud's own words.

Watson has even more ability than CJ Stroud, the only difference is that Stroud has surrendered his life to our Lord Jesus.

If fans want the Browns to win a Super Bowl, they should do everything in their power to shower Mr. Watson with the words and love of Christ the Savior.

Once Deshaun Watson is saved, and begins to live his life in the brilliant light of our Lord, he will be transformed off the field and then on it! 

The Brown BLog Predicts: Game 8 vs Cardinals

The Browns luck ran out against Seattle last Sunday.  

What?  Luck??

Luck does not exist, right?  It's all about the numbers.   Well, I don't know which set of analytics says that but I thought at a bare minimum it was a terrible idea to put the entire game on PJ Walkers shoulders after such a gutsy performance.   So instead of being a hero, Walker ends up the goat and the Browns yet again try to outsmart an opponent, who instead made their reads and won the play, then the game.

So will we need luck against the Cardinals today?  I was ready to predict Arizona if Kyler Murray were to start, but a rookie QB against the Browns amazing D?   

I see no way the Browns lose to a rookie QB, Clayton Tune will make a few errors and the Browns will get a win at home

The Brown BLog Predicts

Browns            23

Cardinals         17

The Brown BLog are 3-4 this season